DM Monthly Report – Dec 2018

SHOULD WE BE WORRIED ABOUT OIL’S RAPID DESCENT?  After having tracked steadily upward from a sub-$30 valley reached in early 2016, crude oil abruptly reversed course in mid-October, plunging by almost a third in just a few weeks. Because oil and gas remain key inputs to global growth, concerted price moves can sometimes provide clues to underlying economic health, even before changes in course show up in GDP and other key figures. If, for example, price is falling due to a drop-off in demand, it’s not unreasonable to surmise that general business activity has also cooled.

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